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The US Will WIn

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The Argument

The US is likely to win the trade war. This means it can protect jobs and force China to stop abusing it via trade policy. The US has a significant trade deficit with China. The US buys more items from China than China does from the US. This means that there are more imports that the US is able place tariffs on, and that China’s economy is more vulnerable than the US’s. If the US tariffed all Chinese imports the effect on China’s economy would be far more damaging than if China tariffed all the US products it imports. If they continue in a tit for tat exchange, eventually china will experience a huge economic shock and damage. This means the US has more leverage in forcing concessions from China and can ultimately get what it wants, as China would never follow the war through to this conclusion.

Counter arguments

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Rejecting the premises

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This page was last edited on Tuesday, 21 Aug 2018 at 20:36 UTC